Thursday, June 12, 2008

Polls: Obama Beating McCain Among Women

McCain has a big problem on his hands. All this nonsense about Obama not winning workers, women, or hispanics is backed up by the evidence. In fact, Obama beats McCain in many categories of voters. The Republicans base of support seems to be dwindling:

Barack Obama has moved into double-digit leads over Republican John McCain in two new polls of women voters, suggesting he is drawing support from women who once backed Hillary Rodham Clinton.

Obama led McCain 51%-38% in Gallup polling of 2,263 registered female voters June 5-9. The 13-percentage-point lead among women was up from 5 points the previous week, before the Democratic nomination ended. Obama now matches Clinton's performance against McCain, Gallup said Wednesday.

The Gallup results mirrored Obama's 52%-39% lead among women in a Rasmussen Reports poll of 3,000 likely voters June 8-10. The polls' margins of error are +/— 2 to 3 percentage points. Clinton on June 4 signaled her intent to withdraw and officially suspended her campaign Saturday. Some of her supporters said they would never vote for Obama, and one man, Ed Hale, started a website for former Clinton supporters now backing McCain.

[...]Obama's gender advantage is larger than Democratic nominee John Kerry's 51%-48% showing against President Bush in the 2004 general election. But it is similar to a Gallup Poll in June of that year showing Kerry with 54% support from women to 39% for Bush.

Strategist Mark Mellman, who polled for Kerry and was neutral this year, said attacks on Kerry helped erode his standing — but his greater problem was that the "underlying fundamentals" of the race favored Bush. This year, he said, they "point pretty strongly to Democrats and Obama."

Mellman said he is not surprised to see women starting to coalesce behind Obama. Some Clinton supporters are angry, he said, including some members of his extended family. "There are such people," he said. "But they seem to be a distinct minority and over time they will be a shrinking minority."

No comments: